Even if you'd never even consider placing a formal bet, this gives you an entire different way of brooding about the "American Idol" competition. Even if you are just collaborating in a friendly handshake bet with your mom, reading this can give you an advantage. As everyone knows, this race is wide open at this time. So if I was sitting in Todd's shoes and I needed to plant a couple of dollars on a deserving investment, that cash must go on Epperly. Any bet at about that point is dangerous, but at least she rewards you with 62 dollars of profit for each dollar invested IF she wins.

having a look at his other 4 "no brainer" selections, I also see worth in Hall at 15-1. At about that point, before a single live performance, can anyone actually say that Garcia is 3 times more probable to win than Hall? I suspect not.

Invest in Hall rather than the other 3. Looking down Todd's list a bit farther into his "solid selections," let's apply the same principle, and put them listed by favoritism from the gambling public. If you view this group as fairly closely matched, then take one of the folks with high chances. Remember, these chances to don't reflect the true probabilities of a person winning, they only reflect the perceptions of the oddsmaker and the gambling public. It is hard for me to judge the way in which the Television coverage has impacted the existing percentages, as I've not taken even handed notes along the whole way, but one

thing did stand out to me : Michelle Delamor sits at 50-1. She's one of the longest shots on the board ; any one remember Mine that Bird winning the Kentucky Derby? This Derby winner worked away in Canada and New Mexico while prepping for the Derby, below the radar and out of public view. With 20-20 hindsight, I was able to build a robust case for this pony to win the Derby. While before the race, I mentioned "this pony has no business being in this race." How can any one rate Delamor based primarily on what we've seen on FOX? So , her chances are likely a robust reflection of how very little is commonly known about her, rather than why folk think she has little risk of winning.